Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.001733 0.001808 0.001885 0.001971 0.002065 0.002165 0.002279
2025-07-06 0.001604 0.001709 0.001822 0.001954 0.002105 0.002275 0.002482
2025-07-13 0.001476 0.001594 0.001724 0.001882 0.002069 0.002288 0.002569
2025-07-20 0.001410 0.001541 0.001690 0.001874 0.002101 0.002377 0.002749
2025-07-27 0.001368 0.001510 0.001676 0.001886 0.002154 0.002491 0.002970
2025-08-03 0.001319 0.001468 0.001644 0.001873 0.002170 0.002558 0.003133
2025-08-10 0.001291 0.001448 0.001637 0.001887 0.002222 0.002674 0.003376
2025-08-17 0.001254 0.001416 0.001613 0.001877 0.002239 0.002741 0.003555
2025-08-24 0.001218 0.001381 0.001583 0.001857 0.002239 0.002784 0.003699
2025-08-31 0.001208 0.001380 0.001595 0.001893 0.002319 0.002949 0.004070
2025-09-07 0.001188 0.001364 0.001587 0.001901 0.002358 0.003055 0.004358
2025-09-14 0.001159 0.001336 0.001561 0.001881 0.002355 0.003093 0.004526
2025-09-21 0.001127 0.001303 0.001529 0.001853 0.002340 0.003112 0.004666
2025-09-28 0.001103 0.001280 0.001509 0.001842 0.002348 0.003171 0.004902
2025-10-05 0.001062 0.001233 0.001455 0.001779 0.002273 0.003081 0.004798
2025-10-12 0.001043 0.001216 0.001441 0.001772 0.002286 0.003146 0.005056
2025-10-19 0.001032 0.001208 0.001439 0.001783 0.002327 0.003266 0.005474
2025-10-26 0.001013 0.001189 0.001422 0.001771 0.002330 0.003313 0.005728
2025-11-02 0.001004 0.001183 0.001422 0.001784 0.002375 0.003447 0.006256
2025-11-09 0.000989 0.001168 0.001407 0.001775 0.002382 0.003505 0.006593
2025-11-16 0.000971 0.001149 0.001388 0.001758 0.002372 0.003529 0.006835
2025-11-23 0.000969 0.001152 0.001401 0.001790 0.002451 0.003748 0.007844
2025-11-30 0.000960 0.001145 0.001397 0.001796 0.002486 0.003877 0.008617